Forex Graphs

Tips for cutting your foreign exchange losses

If you spend, say, $2,000 at your foreign destination, the worst exchange rate will cost you something around $100 more than the best rate. Given all of the other opportunities to overspend, that isn't a huge deal. Still, travelers hate even a small gouge when it's unnecessary. Although I've done several previous columns on this subject, I still get more reader inquiries about foreign exchange than any other topic. So here, for what I hope is the last time this year, are my best suggestions about exchanging dollars for foreign money.

1. The best overall way to exchange is a no-fee ATM currency withdrawal with a debit-ATM card. I know of three no-fee systems:

If you have an account at Bank of America, you can make unlimited withdrawals, with no fees, from ATMs operated by Barclays (UK), Deutsche Bank (Germany), Paribas (France), Scotiabank (Canada), and Westpac (Australia).

• If you have an account at Citibank, you can make unlimited withdrawals from Citibank ATMs in various foreign countries. Check the Citibank website for locations. Unfortunately, Citibank has very few ATMs in such popular destinations as France, Italy, Thailand, and the U.K.
• Some small banks absorb the usual fees for foreign withdrawals, usually with a limit on the number of no-fee uses. Ask your bank about its policies.

2. If you don't have a no-fee ATM card, you do almost as well billing local purchases to a credit card that doesn't assess a large foreign surcharge. You lose no more than about one percent in exchange costs with a Visa card from Capital One or USAA bank, or a MasterCard or Visa from one of the smaller banks and credit unions that issue such cards. Check around for a smaller bank in your area. You lose about two percent with an American Express card.

Most other banks that issue MasterCard or Visa cards, as well as Diners Club, add a surcharge of three percent to foreign billings. Although two-thirds of that is pure gouge, the total three percent is still less than you'd lose exchanging currency or travelers checks. Since my earlier report, MBNA, which used to add only one percent, has gone over to the dark side and now adds the three-percent gouge.

3. For the cash you need, your best bet is a debit-ATM card. Since you pay a fee of up to $5 for each withdrawal regardless of the amount of money, you can minimize your exchange losses by withdrawing at least $200 worth of foreign currency each time.

4. Exchanging U.S. currency or travelers checks at banks or independent "bureaus de change" generally costs anywhere from four to 10 percent in exchange rates and fees. But you can't use foreign currency travelers checks to avoid that fee, since you pay an equivalent fee when you buy the checks.

5. Finally, here are a few exchange methods to avoid:

• Don't let a foreign merchant bill your credit card in U.S. dollars rather than foreign currency. That way, you'll get gouged twice: once when the merchant gives you a poor exchange rate, and again when your bank adds a surcharge.
• Don't exchange at U.S. airports before you depart. Over the years, those have been among the worst rates I've seen.
• Don't use a credit card to withdraw cash—you'll pay fees on the exchange plus a withdrawal fee plus interest on a cash advance.
• Don't exchange at a hotel desk—I've seen hotel desks give as much as 20 percent less foreign currency than you'd get at the wholesale rate.
• Forget travelers checks unless you're paranoid about security issues with plastic.

It's easy to keep your exchange losses to no more than three percent. And with the right combination of ATM and credit cards, you can cut losses close to zero.

Forex Market - Enjoy

Welcome to foreign exchange market
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Forex Market News
The EURUSD trading is within the range of 1.4160/1.4195. Break below 1.4160 will provoke movement to 1.4120/25. The market is into consolidation ahead the important events for the U.S. economy expecting this morning. If the data for the U.S. economy is worse than the forecasting the EURUSD is on the way to break 1.4195 and [...]
Market Update.. read moreToday’s technical picture is as follows: the euro has probably ended its corrective downleg (from the top of 1.4280) at friday’s 1.4030, and is now gathering momentum for its new upmove initially to 1.4315/30 in the next sessions… this scenario will need a confirmation with a daily close above 1.4230… the second scenario (which looks [...]
Market Update.. read moreThe softer USD is being blamed for much of the recent spike higher in commodity prices, and while this makes sense on a basic level (European’s can buy more gasoline as it is cheaper in EUR’s), chances are that the USD effect on non-precious metal commodities is being greatly overestimated by commodity bulls. Still, [...]
Risk Disclaimer: Forex trading on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to invest in FOREX you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with online forex trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor if you have any doubts. Past returns are not indicative of future results.
We act as independent introducing agent and compensated through bid ask spread or commission over each trade. All foreign exchange trading services provided by regulated forex broker. Multibanks ECN Broker provides ability to trade at interbank forex rates.

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Forex Forecast

Basic Forex forecast methods: Technical analysis and fundamental analysis.
This article provides insight into the two major methods of analysis used to forecast the behavior of the Forex market. Technical analysis and fundamental analysis differ greatly, but both can be useful forecast tools for the Forex trader. They have the same goal - to predict a price or movement. The technician studies the effect while the fundamentalist studies the cause of market movement. Many successful traders combine a mixture of both approaches for superior results.

Technical analysis
Technical analysis is a method of predicting price movements and future market trends by studying charts of past market action. Technical analysis is concerned with what has actually happened in the market, rather than what should happen and takes into account the price of instruments and the volume of trading, and creates charts from that data to use as the primary tool. One major advantage of technical analysis is that experienced analysts can follow many markets and market instruments simultaneously.

Technical analysis is built on three essential principles:

1. Market action discounts everything! This means that the actual price is a reflection of everything that is known to the market that could affect it, for example, supply and demand, political factors and market sentiment. However, the pure technical analyst is only concerned with price movements, not with the reasons for any changes.

2. Prices move in trends Technical analysis is used to identify patterns of market behavior that have long been recognized as significant. For many given patterns there is a high probability that they will produce the expected results. Also, there are recognized patterns that repeat themselves on a consistent basis.

3. History repeats itself Forex chart patterns have been recognized and categorized for over 100 years and the manner in which many patterns are repeated leads to the conclusion that human psychology changes little over time.

Forex charts are based on market action involving price. There are five categories in Forex technical analysis theory:
* Indicators (oscillators, e.g.: Relative Strength Index (RSI)
* Number theory (Fibonacci numbers, Gann numbers)
* Waves (Elliott wave theory)
* Gaps (high-low, open-closing)
* Trends (following moving average).

Some major technical analysis tools are described below:
Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI measures the ratio of up-moves to down-moves and normalizes the calculation so that the index is expressed in a range of 0-100. If the RSI is 70 or greater, then the instrument is assumed to be overbought (a situation in which prices have risen more than market expectations). An RSI of 30 or less is taken as a signal that the instrument may be oversold (a situation in which prices have fallen more than the market expectations).

Stochastic oscillator:
This is used to indicate overbought/oversold conditions on a scale of 0-100%. The indicator is based on the observation that in a strong up trend, period closing prices tend to concentrate in the higher part of the period's range. Conversely, as prices fall in a strong down trend, closing prices tend to be near to the extreme low of the period range. Stochastic calculations produce two lines, %K and %D that are used to indicate overbought/oversold areas of a chart. Divergence between the stochastic lines and the price action of the underlying instrument gives a powerful trading signal.

Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD):
This indicator involves plotting two momentum lines. The MACD line is the difference between two exponential moving averages and the signal or trigger line, which is an exponential moving average of the difference. If the MACD and trigger lines cross, then this is taken as a signal that a change in the trend is likely.

Number theory:
Fibonacci numbers: The Fibonacci number sequence (1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34...) is constructed by adding the first two numbers to arrive at the third. The ratio of any number to the next larger number is 62%, which is a popular Fibonacci retracement number. The inverse of 62%, which is 38%, is also used as a Fibonacci retracement number.

Gann numbers:
W.D. Gann was a stock and a commodity trader working in the '50s who reputedly made over $50 million in the markets. He made his fortune using methods that he developed for trading instruments based on relationships between price movement and time, known as time/price equivalents. There is no easy explanation for Gann's methods, but in essence he used angles in charts to determine support and resistance areas and predict the times of future trend changes. He also used lines in charts to predict support and resistance areas.

Waves
Elliott wave theory: The Elliott wave theory is an approach to market analysis that is based on repetitive wave patterns and the Fibonacci number sequence. An ideal Elliott wave patterns shows a five-wave advance followed by a three-wave decline.

Gaps
Gaps are spaces left on the bar chart where no trading has taken place. An up gap is formed when the lowest price on a trading day is higher than the highest high of the previous day. A down gap is formed when the highest price of the day is lower than the lowest price of the prior day. An up gap is usually a sign of market strength, while a down gap is a sign of market weakness. A breakaway gap is a price gap that forms on the completion of an important price pattern. It usually signals the beginning of an important price move. A runaway gap is a price gap that usually occurs around the mid-point of an important market trend. For that reason, it is also called a measuring gap. An exhaustion gap is a price gap that occurs at the end of an important trend and signals that the trend is ending.

Trends
A trend refers to the direction of prices. Rising peaks and troughs constitute an up trend; falling peaks and troughs constitute a downtrend that determines the steepness of the current trend. The breaking of a trend line usually signals a trend reversal. Horizontal peaks and troughs characterize a trading range.

Moving averages are used to smooth price information in order to confirm trends and support and resistance levels. They are also useful in deciding on a trading strategy, particularly in futures trading or a market with a strong up or down trend.

The most common technical tools:
Coppock Curve is an investment tool used in technical analysis for predicting bear market lows.

DMI (Directional Movement Indicator) is a popular technical indicator used to determine whether or not a currency pair is trending.

Unlike the fundamental analyst, the technical analyst is not much concerned with any of the "bigger picture" factors affecting the market, but concentrates on the activity of that instrument's market.

Fundamental analysis
Fundamental analysis is a method of forecasting the future price movements of a financial instrument based on economic, political, environmental and other relevant factors and statistics that will affect the basic supply and demand of whatever underlies the financial instrument. In practice, many market players use technical analysis in conjunction with fundamental analysis to determine their trading strategy. One major advantage of technical analysis is that experienced analysts can follow many markets and market instruments, whereas the fundamental analyst needs to know a particular market intimately. Fundamental analysis focuses on what ought to happen in a market. Factors involved in price analysis: Supply and demand, seasonal cycles, weather and government policy.

The fundamentalist studies the cause of market movement, while the technician studies the effect. Fundamental analysis is a macro or strategic assessment of where a currency should be trading based on any criteria but the movement of the currency's price itself. These criteria often include the economic condition of the country that the currency represents, monetary policy, and other "fundamental" elements.

Many profitable trades are made moments prior to or shortly after major economic announcements.

Forex 4 Beginners

1. Purpose of trading
The purpose of trading on any market is to buy low and sell high. The foreign currency market FOREX is no exception. The goods traded on this market are rates of currencies of different countries. As any other goods the currencies have their prices.

To settle transactions between businesses located in different countries, governments, speculative transactions and so forth, banks around the world execute currency trades on FOREX market. Depending on various trade, economical and other parameters, interest rates, central bank policies, time of the day, preferences and anticipations of the market players, and many other causes, the rates, that is prices, of currencies stay in ceaseless motion.

Your task as a trader is to determine the trend of the rate and buy an appreciating currency or sell a depreciating one, and then take your profits through execution of a reverse transaction.

And, at last, you will have a special trading account allowing you to buy and sell desired currencies. Despite of having US dollars in your account, you may start your trading from selling deutchemarks or japanese yens not concerning yourself with not having bought them in advance.

2. Some codes, numbers and definitions.
Each currency is assigned a three-letter code. For example, US dollar is coded - USD (United States Dollar), euro is coded EUR (EURo), Swiss frank is coded CHF (Confederation Helvetica Franc), Japanese yen is coded JPY (JaPanese Yen), British pound is coded GBP (Great British Pound). The currency codes are defined by ISO-4217 standard. Usually they are formed as a two-letter ISO-3166 country code and the first letter of currency name. There are a few exceptions most notable being the euro (EUR).

Currency rates are equal to ratios of currency units of different countries relative to each other. The rates are represented by 6-letter words composed of two three-letter currency codes. The first position is occupied, as a rule, by the code of a more expensive currency. The rates are expressed in units of the second currency per unit of the first one. For example, rates USDCHF (USD-CHF) show the number of Swiss franks in one US dollar, but rates GBPUSD (GBP-USD) show the number of US dollars having to be paid for one British pound. More detailed information on the codes of financial instruments may be found in this table.

3. How to read quotes.
> The rates are usually expressed as five-digit numbers. For example, USDJPY = 121.44 means that 1 US dollar is valued at 121.44 Japanese yens (i.e. they are willing to pay you that many yens for one US dollar while you are buying or selling). At the same time, GBPUSD = 1.6262 means that 1 British pound is valued at 1.6262 US dollars. Generally, if the rate XXXYYY = Z, it means that one unit of XXX is worth Z units of YYY.

When the rate has changed, for example USDJPY = 121.44 to USDJPY = 121.45 or GBPUSD = 1.6262 to 1.6263, they say that the rate has moved 1 point. As it follows from the information above, yen in this example has DEPRECIATED by 1 point, but the pound has APPRECIATED, also by 1 point.

While watching the charts, you should keep in mind that only euro (EURUSD), British pound (GBPUSD) and Australian dollar (AUDUSD) charts reflect real movements of the rates of these currencies (that is, chart going up, means increasing price), as growth (that is, charts moving up) mean decreasing rates (prices) for the other currencies.

Sometimes quotes are given as a pair, for example 121.44/49. It is a BID/ASK pair: the first number is BID, then the two last figures of ASK. Knowing that ASK is always higher than BID and that the spread is under 100 points, the full ASK real prices can always be defined. In this example ASK = 121.49.

4. BID and ASK prices.
It is known, that every transaction is executed at a rather well defined and concrete price, while the table Quote Spread Sheet lists three prices for each currency, for example:

Each of the participants of FOREX market enters each trade as either a SELLER or a BUYER of a particular currency. In so doing, the seller offers the currency at a higher price, for example GBPUSD at 1.6325, while the buyer bids for it at a lower price, for example, GBPUSD at 1.6322. The seller's price is called ASK and the buyers price is called BID accordingly. This is why, if you anticipate GBPUSD to appreciate (your GBPUSD chart to go up), then you should decide to buy the pound when it is low to sell it high later. You can BUY only from a seller offering it at the price equal to ASK. Should you be selling the pound (this operation is called SELL), the buyer will bid at a price equal to BID for it (this holds true for all currencies). The obvious conclusion is that if you have OPENED a position (the operation is called OPEN), that is you have executed BUY GBPUSD, and want to CLOSE it immediately (the operation is called CLOSE), that is to sell the pounds you have just bought, then you could do it only at a loss, similar to what would happen at any currency exchange booth. Consequently, to make a profit you should let the rate move in the anticipated direction more than the difference between BID and ASK. The third number is called LAST, which is an average of last BID and ASK on Forex.

As described in the section 3 above, currencies with a direct quote only appreciate when the chart goes up. Currencies with inverse quote depreciate when the chart goes up. Considering an upward movement on the chart, BUY operation would be confusing if it's profitable for some currencies but not for the others. To clear the confusion, the BUY operation for currencies with inverse quote, like USDJPY, was altered. BUY for USDJPY and the like buy not the currency itself, like JPY but it buys the US dollars instead, selling the other currency. For example, BUY USDCHF at 1.4500 buys 100,000 US dollars for 145,000 swiss franks. Thus, the BUY operation is always profitable when the chart goes up, SELL is always profitable when the chart goes down.

OPEN BUY (up) is executed at the ASK, CLOSE - at the bid BID; OPEN SELL (down) – at the BID, CLOSE - at the ASK.

5. STOP and LIMIT orders.
Let us get aquainted with some useful trading tools allowing us to protect ourselves from unforeseen losses to certain degree and take the expected profits.

These are STOP and LIMIT. For a previously opened position an instruction may be entered at any moment (during the working days) to close it, if the rate reaches a preset level. For example, you have opened a position expecting the rate to go up (on the chart). To protect yourself from significant losses if the rate moves down, especially in such a situation when you don't have or are about to lose control of the market, you should enter a STOP, that is set a price at below its current value at which your position should be closed with no further instructions.

Similarly, if you have opened a down position, then you should specify a price above its current value. In this case you should bear in mind that if the STOP is set too closely to the current rate value, then a random rate fluctuation may close a correctly open position at a loss, but if it is set too far, then the losses could become unreasonably high. LIMIT is a rate value that you set at which the position should be closed with a profit, that is the value of the LIMIT should always be above the current level, if you play long, and below it, if you play short.

FAQ

What is Foreign Exchange / Forex / FX?
Foreign exchange is the simultaneous purchase of one currency and sale of another – currencies are always traded in pairs. International currencies are traded on floating exchange rates. There is a daily average turnover of about US$1.5 trillion in the foreign exchange markets. The foreign exchange market is known as the "Forex," or "FX" market. It is the largest financial market in the world.

Is there a central location for the Forex Market?
Forex trading is not managed through an exchange. Since transactions are conducted between two counterparts, the FX market is an “inter-bank,” or over the counter (OTC) market.

Who participates in the FX market?
Central, commercial and investment banks have traditionally dominated the Forex market. Other market participation is rapidly increasing, and now includes international money managers and brokers, multinational corporations, registered dealers, options and futures traders, and private investors.

When is the FX market open for trading?
Forex is a true global 24-hour marketplace. The trading day begins in Sydney, and moves around the globe as each financial center comes to life. Tokyo follows, then London, and finally New York. Investors can respond in real time to any fluctuations caused by current economic, social and political events.

What are the most common currencies in the Forex markets?
The most “liquid” currencies in the Forex market are those of countries with low inflation, stable governments, and respected central banks. Nearly 85% of daily transactions involve the major currencies, including the U.S. Dollar, Japanese Yen, the European Union Euro, British Pound, Swiss Franc, and the Canadian and Australian Dollars.

Is is capital intensive to trade forex?
Forex Capital Management requires a minimum deposit of $300 to open a Mini Account and $2000 for a regular account. Your relationship with Forex Capital Management enables you to conduct highly leveraged trades (as much as a 200 to 1 leverage ration in the Mini Account.) You set the degree of leverage that you wish to deploy. Unless otherwise specified, your leverage level is set at the most lenient level required by your account size. Please remember that while this degree of leverage enables you to maximize your profit potential, there is an equally great potential for loss.

What is Margin?
Margin is a performance bond that insures against trading losses. Margin requirements in the FX marketplace allow you to hold positions much larger than the asset value of your account. Trading with Forex Capital Management includes a pre-trade check for margin availability, the trade is executed only if there are sufficient margin funds in your account. The Forex Capital Management trading system calculates cash on hand necessary to cover current positions, and provides this information to you in real time. If funds in your account fall below margin requirements, the system will close all open positions. This prevents your account from falling below your available equity, which is a key protection in this volatile, fast moving marketplace.

What are “short” and “long” positions?
Short positions are taken when a trader sells currency in anticipation of a downturn in price. Making this move allows the investor to benefit from a decline. Long positions are taken when a trader buys a currency at a low price in anticipation of selling it later for more. Making these moves allows the investor to benefit from changing market prices. Remember! Since currencies are traded in pairs, every forex position inevitably requires the investor to go short in one currency and long in the other.

What is the difference between an "intraday" and "overnight position"?
Intraday positions are all positions opened anytime during the 24 hour period AFTER the close of Forex Capital’s normal trading hours at 5:00pm EST. Overnight positions are positions that are still on at the end of normal trading hours (5:00pm EST), which are automatically rolled by Forex Capital Management.

How is pricing determined for certain currencies?
The full range of economic and political conditions impact currency pricing. It is generally held that interest rates, inflation rates and political stability are top among important factors. At times, governments participate in the forex market in order to influence the traded value of their currencies. These and other market factors such as very large orders can cause extreme relative volatility in currency prices. The sheer size of the forex market prevents any single factor from dominating the market for any length of time.

How can I manage risk?
The most common risk management tools in Forex trading are the stop-loss order and the limit order. The stop-loss order directs that a position be automatically liquidated at a certain price in order to guard against dramatic changes against the position. A limit order sets the maximum price that the investor is willing to pay in a transaction, as well as a minimum price to be received in exchange. The foreign exchange marketplace is so liquid that it is easy to execute stop-loss and limit orders. Forex Capital Management guarantees execution of stop-loss and limit orders at the specified price on orders up to US$1 million.

What trading strategy should I use?
Both economic fundamentals and technical factors influence the decisions of currency traders. Those who follow economic fundamentals use government issued reports, current news, and broad economic trends to anticipate movements in price. Technical traders rely on trend lines, support and resistance levels, and a variety of charts and mathematical analysis to identify trading opportunities. Over time, the most significant price movements occur in close association with unexpected events. Perhaps the central bank changes rates without warning, or an election puts an unexpected candidate in power. News from conflicts certainly impacts currency pricing. More often than not, it is the expectation of a certain event rather than the actual event that drives price pressures.

How often can trades be made?
As one might expect, trading activity on any particular day is dictated by current market conditions. Some small to medium size traders might make as many as 10 transactions in a day. By not charging commission and offering tight spreads, Forex Capital Management investors can take positions as often as is necessary without concern for excessive transaction costs.

How long should a position be maintained?
Forex traders generally hold positions until one of three criteria is met:
1. A sufficient profit has been realized from the position.
2. A pre-set stop-loss order is triggered.
3. A better potential position emerges and the trader needs to liquidate funds to take advantage of it.

How do margin calls work?
A margin call is generated when the equity balance in an account drops below the margin requirement for that size account. If the maximum allowable leverage has been exceeded, any open positions are immediately liquidated, regardless of the nature or size of the positions.

Glossary and Definition of Terms

Ask: Price at which broker/dealer is willing to sell. Same as "Offer".

Bid: Price at which broker/dealer is willing to buy.

Bid/Ask Spread (or "Spread"): The distance, usually in pips, between the Bid and Ask price. A tighter spread is better for the trader.

Cost of Carry (also "Interest" or "Premium"): The cost, often quoted in terms of dollars or pips per day, of holding an open position.

Currency Futures: Futures contracts traded on an exchange, most typically the Chicago Mercantile Exchange ("CME"). Always quoted in terms of the currency value with respect to the US Dollar. Parameters of the futures contract are standardized by the exchange.

Drawdown: The magnitude of a decline in account value, either in percentage or dollar terms, as measured from peak to subsequent trough. For example, if a trader's account increased in value from $10,000 to $20,000, then dropped to $15,000, then increased again to $25,000, that trader would have had a maximum drawdown of $5,000 (incurred when the account declined from $20,000 to $15,000) even though that trader's account was never in a loss position from inception.

EBS: "Electronic Brokerage System", the electronic system on which major banks trade with each other. This is considered to be the most definitive indicator of prices at which currencies are "really" trading, at least for EUR/USD and USD/JPY.

Forex: Short for "Foreign Exchange". Refers generally to the Foreign Exchange trading industry and/or to the currencies themselves.

Fundamental Analysis: Macro or strategic assessments of where a currency should be trading based on any criteria but the price action itself. These criteria often include the economic condition of the country that the currency represents, monetary policy, and other "fundamental" elements.

Leverage: The amount, expressed as a multiple, by which the notional amount traded exceeds the margin required to trade. For example, if the notional amount traded (also referred to as "lot size" or "contract value") is $100,000 dollars and the required margin is $2,000, the trader can trade with 50 times leverage ($100,000/$2,000).

Limit: An order to buy at a specified price when the market moves down to that price, or to sell at a specified price when the market moves up to that price.

Liquidity: A function of volume and activity in a market. It is the efficiency and cost effectiveness with which positions can be traded and orders executed. A more liquid market will provide more frequent price quotes at a smaller bid/ask spread.

Margin: The amount of funds required in a clients account in order to open a position or to maintain an open position. For example, 1% margin means that $1,000 of funds on deposit are required for a $100,000 position.

Margin Call: A requirement by the broker to deposit more funds in order to maintain an open position. Sometimes a "margin call" means that the position which does not have sufficient funds on deposit will simply be closed out by the broker. This procedure allows the client to avoid further losses or a debit account balance.

Market Order: An order to buy at the current Ask price.

Offer: Price at which broker/dealer is willing to sell. Same as "Ask".

Pip: The smallest price increment in a currency. Often referred to as "ticks" in the futures markets. For example, in EURUSD, a move from .9015 to .9016 is one pip. In USDJPY, a move from 128.51 to 128.52 is one pip.

Premium (also "Interest" or "Cost of Carry"): The cost, often quoted in terms of dollars or pips per day, of holding an open position.

Roll over: Is the changing of futures when they expire to the new contract.

Spot Foreign Exchange: Often referred to as the "interbank" market. Refers to currencies traded between two counterparties, often major banks. Spot Foreign Exchange is generally traded on margin and is the primary market that this website is focused on. Generally more liquid and widely traded than currency futures, particularly by institutions and professional money managers.

Stop: An order to buy at the market only when the market moves up to a specific price, or to sell at the market only when the market moves down to a specific price.

Technical Analysis: Analysis applied to the price action of the market to develop trading decisions, irrespective of fundamental factors.

Tick: The smallest price increment in a futures or CFD price. Often referred to as a "pip" in the currency markets. For example, in Down Jones Industrials, a move from 8845 to 8846 is one tick. In S&P 500, a move from 902.50 to 902.51 is one tick.

CURRENCY PAIRS:
Symbol Currency Pair Trading Terminology
GBPUSD British Pound / US Dollar "Cable"
EURUSD Euro / US Dollar "Euro"
USDJPY US Dollar / Japanese Yen "Dollar Yen"
USDCHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc "Dollar Swiss", or "Swissy"
USDCAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar "Dollar Canada"
AUDUSD Australian Dollar / US Dollar "Aussie Dollar"
EURGBP Euro / British Pound "Euro Sterling"
EURJPY Euro / Japanese Yen "Euro Yen"
EURCHF Euro / Swiss Franc "Euro Swiss"
GBPCHF British Pound / Swiss Franc "Sterling Swiss"
GBPJPY British Pound / Japanese Yen "Sterling Yen"
CHFJPY Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen "Swiss Yen"
NZDUZD New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar "New Zealand Dollar" or "Kiwi"
USDZAR US Dollar / South African Rand "Dollar Zar" or "South African Rand"
GLDUSD Spot Gold "Gold"
SLVUSD Spot Silver "Silver

Risk Control

Controlling risk is one of the most important ingredients of successful trading. While it is emotionally more appealing to focus on the upside of trading, every trader should know precisely how much he is willing to lose on each trade before cutting losses, and how much he is willing to lose in his account before ceasing trading and re-evaluating.

Risk will essentially be controlled in two ways: 1) by exiting losing trades before losses exceed your pre-determined maximum tolerance (or "cutting losses"), and 2) by limiting the "leverage" or position size you trade for a given account size.


Cutting Losses

Too often, the beginning trader will be overly concerned about incurring losing trades. He therefore lets losses mount, with the "hope" that the market will turn around and the loss will turn into a gain.

Almost all successful trading strategies include a disciplined procedure for cutting losses. When a trader is down on a positions, many emotions often come into play, making it difficult to cut losses at the right level. The best practice is to decide where losses will be cut before a trade is even initiated. This will assure the trader of the maximum amount he can expect to lose on the trade.

The other key element of risk control is overall account risk. In other words, a trader should know before he begins his trading endeavor how much of his account he is willing to lose before ceasing trading and re-evaluating his strategy. If you open an account with $2,000, are you willing to lose all $2,000? $1,000? As with risk control on individual trades, the most important discipline is to decide on a level and stick with it.


Determining Position Size

Before beginning any trading program, an assessment should be made of the maximum account loss that is likely to occur over time, per lot . For example, assume you have determined that your worse case loss on any trade is 30 pips. That translates into approximately $300 per $100,000 position size. Further assume that the $100,000 position size is equal to one lot. Five consecutive losing trades would result in a loss of $1,500 (5 x $300); a difficult period but not to be unexpected over the long run. For a $10,000 account trading one lot, this translates into a 15% loss. Therefore, even though it may be possible to trade 5 lots or more with a $10,000 account, this analysis suggests that the resulting "drawdown" would be too great (75% or more of the account value would be wiped out).

Any trader should have a sense of this maximum loss per lot, and then determine the amount he wishes to trade for a given account size that will yield tolerable drawdowns.

Trading Strategy

Making trading decisions and developing a sound and effective trading strategy is an important foundation of trading. Before developing a trading strategy, a trader should have a working knowledge of technical analysis as well as knowledge of some of the more popular technical studies. Please visit these pages for detailed information.


Sample Strategy 1 - Simple Moving Average

Successful trading is often described as optimizing your risk with respect to your reward, or upside. Any trading strategy should have a disciplined method of limiting risk while making the most out of favorable market moves. We will illustrate one decision making model which uses a Simple Moving Average ("SMA") technical study, based on a 12-period SMA, where each period is 15 minutes. This is one example of a trading decision making strategy, and we encourage any trader to research other strategies as thoroughly as possible.

We will use a simple algorithm: when the price of the currency crosses above the 12-period SMA, it will be taken as a signal to buy at the market. When the currency price crosses below the 12-period SMA, it will be a signal to "Stop and Reverse" ("SAR"). In other words, a long position will be liquidated and a short position will be established, both with market orders. Thus this system will keep the traders "always in" the market - he will always have either a long or short position after the first signal. In the chart below, the white line represents the price of USDJPY, the purple line represents the 12-period SMA of USDJPY, and the red line indicates where USDJPY crosses above the SMA, generating a buy signal at approximately 129.90:



This is a simple example of technical analysis applied to trading. Many strategies used by professional traders make use of moving averages along with other indicators or "filters". Note that the moving average method has an element of risk control built in: a long position will be stopped out fairly quickly in a falling market because the price will drop below the SMA, generating a stop-and-reverse signal. The same holds true for a sell signal in a rising market. Note that the SMA is generated automatically by GCI's integrated charting application.



Sample Strategy 2 - Support and Resistance Levels

One use of technical analysis, apart from technical studies, is in deriving "support" and "resistance" levels. The concept here is that the market will tend to trade above its support levels and trade below its resistance levels. If a support or resistance level is broken, the market is then expected to follow through in that direction. These levels are determined by analyzing the chart and assessing where the market has encountered unbroken support or resistance in the past.

For example, in chart below EURUSD has established a resistance level at approximately .9015. In other words, EURUSD has risen up to .9015 repeatedly, but has been unable to move beyond that point:



The trading strategy would then be to sell EURUSD the next time it gets close to .9015, with a stop placed just above .9015, say at .9025. This would have indeed been a good trade as EURUSD proceeded to fall sharply, without breaking the .9015 resistance. Hence a substantial upside can be achieved while only risking 10 or 15 pips (.0010 or .0015 in EURUSD).

Forex Market Overview

The global marketplace has changed dramatically over the past several years. New investment strategies are becoming more important in order to minimize risk, as well as to maintain high portfolio returns. Among the most rewarding of the markets opening up to traders is the Foreign Exchange market. Identifiable trading patterns, as well as comparatively low margin requirements, have rewarding trading opportunities for many.

In contrast to the world’s stock markets, foreign exchange is traded without the constraints of a central physical exchange. Transactions are instead conducted via telephone or online. With this transaction structure as its foundation, the Foreign Exchange Market has become by far the largest marketplace in the world. Average volume in foreign exchange exceeds $1.5 trillion per day versus only $25 billion per day traded on the New York Stock Exchange. This high volume is advantageous from a trading standpoint because transactions can be executed quickly and with low transaction costs (i.e., a small bid/ask spread).

As a result, foreign exchange trading has long been recognized as a superior investment opportunity by major banks, multinational corporations and other institutions. Today, this market is more widely available to the individual trader than ever before.

Spot foreign exchange is always traded as one currency in relation to another. So a trader who believes that the dollar will rise in relation to the Euro, would sell EURUSD. That is, sell Euros and buy US dollars. Forex-Training.com has compiled the following guide for quoting conventions:
Symbol Currency Pair Trading Terminology
GBPUSD British Pound / US Dollar "Cable"
EURUSD Euro / US Dollar "Euro"
USDJPY US Dollar / Japanese Yen "Dollar Yen"
USDCHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc "Dollar Swiss", or "Swissy"
USDCAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar "Dollar Canada"
AUDUSD Australian Dollar / US Dollar "Aussie Dollar"
EURGBP Euro / British Pound "Euro Sterling"
EURJPY Euro / Japanese Yen "Euro Yen"
EURCHF Euro / Swiss Franc "Euro Swiss"
GBPCHF British Pound / Swiss Franc "Sterling Swiss"
GBPJPY British Pound / Japanese Yen "Sterling Yen"
CHFJPY Swiss Franc / Japanese Yen "Swiss Yen"
NZDUSD New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar "New Zealand Dollar" or "Kiwi"
USDZAR US Dollar / South African Rand "Dollar Zar" or "South African Rand"
GLDUSD Spot Gold "Gold"
SLVUSD Spot Silver "Silver"




Spot Forex versus Currency Futures

Many traders have made the switch from currency futures to spot foreign exchange ("forex") trading. Spot foreign exchange offers better liquidity and generally a lower cost of trading than currency futures. Banks and brokers in spot foreign exchange can quote markets 24 hours a day. Furthermore, the spot foreign exchange market is not burdened by exchange and NFA ("National Futures Association") fees, which are generally passed on to the customer in the form of higher commissions. For these reasons, virtually all professional traders and institutions conduct most of their foreign exchange dealing in the spot forex market, not in currency futures.

The mechanics of trading spot forex are similar to those of currency futures. The most important initial difference is the way in which currency pairs are quoted. Currency futures are always quoted as the currency versus the US dollar. In Spot forex, some currencies are quoted this way, while others are quoted as the US dollar versus the currency. For example, in spot forex, EURUSD is quoted the same way as Euro futures. In other words, if the Euro is strengthening, EURUSD will rise just as Euro futures will rise. On the other hand, USDCHF is quoted as US dollars with respect to Swiss Francs, the opposite of Swiss Franc futures. So if the Swiss Franc strengthens with respect to the US dollar, USDCHF will fall, while Swiss Franc futures will rise. The rule in spot forex is that the first currency shown is the currency that is being quoted in terms of direction. For example, "EUR" in EURUSD and "USD" in USDCHF is the currency that is being quoted.

The table below illustrates which spot currencies move parallel to the futures contract and which move inversely (opposite):

Forex Futures Directional
Symbol Currency Pair Symbol Relationship

GBPUSD British Pound / US Dollar BP Parallel
EURUSD Euro / US Dollar EU Parallel
USDJPY US Dollar / Japanese Yen JY Inverse
USDCHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc SF Inverse
USDCAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar CD Inverse
AUDUSD Australian Dollar / US Dollar AD Parallel
NZDUSD New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar ND Parallel

Benefits To The Forex Trader

A revolutionary Price Driven Forex Trading (PDFT) strategy.

You will not use any type of indicators, identify any vague patterns, or use support or resistance levels etc. You will only use the price of the currency pair to identify, enter and profit from the trade.

You will learn how to exploit the daily range of the major currency pairs.

How to enter "hit and run" trades; i.e. Identify fast, enter fast and profit fast!

Fully disclosed system: no need to buy, rent or subscribe to any service. You control your trading, you decide when to trade, you decide how much to trade.

So easy to learn that most of my traders (many who are completely new to forex trading) put Forex Runner to work only 1 day after learning it.

No stress, no emotions: Since Forex Runner is 100% mechanical you will only follow strict rules to identify, enter and exit trades. No interpretation or judgment what so ever (if you trade already, you most likely know the value of 100% mechanical trading)!

Cheat most daytradres! While 90% of traders will identify trades only after the market started moving (and trust me, most enter as the move is ending!), you will have already identified and entered trades BEFORE the market started moving.

Be your own boss, chose when to trade. Since the forex market is active 24 hours a day, no matter what part of the world you live in you can put Forex Runner to work for you!

Profit objective is pre-set. This means you do not have to think and speculate where to place it. Once you enter the trade you will simply enter a "take profit" order and forget about it.

And Much More!

Introduction

As traders say, a chart is worth 1000 words! Let's look at several examples of Forex Cash Cow trades. Simply click on the below chart images, chart will open in new window.


NOTE: REMEMBER TO ALSO SCROLL DOWN THIS PAGE AND LOOK AT TRADE EXAMPLES OF THE TWO OTHER STRATEGIES TAUGHT IN Forex Trading Methods!

One of the true strength of Forex Cash Cow (and of the other 2 systems I teach in my course) is the fact that it is 100% mechanical. Traders who have been around for some time know the incredible benefits a mechanical system has over non-mechanical trading strategies. Let's look at some of the amazing benefits of the Forex Cash Cow strategy:


No interpretation or judgment required. Since this is a 100% mechanical trading strategy you will be trading completely stress free. This is key with ANY trading strategy. Human emotions is what ultimately breaks traders. With Forex Cash Cow you are guaranteed to not have this problem.

Easy to follow rules. As simple as if A = B do C!

Works the same for everyone who follow the exact rules (unlike non-mechanical trading methods that work for the very few, and most of the time not even that)

Impressively easy to learn. Most Forex Cash Cow traders can put this amazing strategy to work the next day after learning it.

Know today if tomorrow there will be a trade. Yes! You will know a day ahead if a trade is going to be triggered or not.

No monitoring the market. Many people want to trade the forex market but simply don't have the necessary time. Now, with Forex Cash Cow you can trade even if you have a day job! It simply takes 1 minute per week to implement it.

The forex market is known for it's large price swings that when properly traded result in amazing profits. Forex Cash Cow not only trades these price swings with great success BUT it identifies only the best of the best swings, the top percent.

No more buying "black box" systems or subscribing to signal providers. All the strategies rules are 100% disclosed and explained. You will have complete control over your trading.

A unique PDFT (Price Driven Forex Trading) strategy. No indicators, no vague chart patterns, no pivots, no support and resistance, no anything you have seen or read until now.

PDFT [ Price Driven Forex Trading ]

"Learn to profit consistently and systematically trading the Forex market with my 3 top PDFT (Price Driven Forex Trading) strategies."

You will not find a better and more profitable income opportunity in today's marketplace. Forex Trading Machine traders are generating incredible wealth day after day from the comfort of their home. Give me 5 minutes of your time and I will prove to you that this is an offer you cannot miss!

Dear Friend, My name is David Frisher, creator of the revolutionary Price Driven Forex Trading (PDFT) method. I make my living as a full time professional Forex trader and educator. I have been trading several types of markets for over 11 years. Throughout my trading career I have tried and tested more then 150 trading indicators, methods, strategies and systems. Yes, you read correctly, 150! Trading is my passion and that is how I treat it.

Eleven years of trading experience have taught me countless important lessons about this business. However, one lesson stands out above everything else I have learned: